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每日汇评：黄金价格在未能突破7月高点后，可能下创月度新低
黄金价格在未能测试 7 月高点（1814 美元）后开始威胁月低点（1754 美元），未能守住 8 月开盘区间可能导致贵金属进一步下跌。随着FOMC会议纪要的公布，黄金回落至50日移动平均线(SMA)以下(1776美元)，黄金可能会跟随移动平均线的负斜率，在很大程度上反映6月以来的价格走势。
只要美联储坚持其加息周期，贵金属价格的疲软似乎就会持续下去，而美联储是否会在9月的下一次利率决定中调整前瞻指引还有待观察。在那之前，对美国加息的预期可能会继续拖累黄金，因为FOMC坚称，“在短期内如果通胀率高于预期，可以进一步提高利率。”
然而，对于美联储将改变对抗通货膨胀的方法的猜测可能会增加黄金的吸引力，因为CME美联储观察工具反映出在9月份加息50个基点的可能性为60%，而黄金可能在很大程度上保持了从年度低点(1681美元)的涨幅，因为FOMC承认“在某个时候放慢政策加息的步伐可能是合适的”。
尽管如此，美联储再次加息75个基点的预期减弱，可能会限制黄金的下行风险，但在尝试测试7月高点(1814美元)失败后，黄金价格可能会在50天SMA(1776美元)上出现负斜率。
黄金技术前景
在7月的高点(1814美元)之前，黄金价格似乎已经逆转，回到50日移动平均线(1776美元)以下，贵金属可能会沿着移动平均线的负斜率，威胁到8月的开盘区间。
缺乏动力的维持在 1761 ~ 1771 美元上方的斐波纳契重叠区域可能会将金价推向 1725 美元（38.2% 回撤位），下一个关注区域将在 1690 ~ 1695 美元（61.8% 扩张）区域附近。
然而，如果黄金价格能够从月度低点1754 美元反弹，金价可能会清除看跌的价格区间，并突破 1761 ~ 1771 美元（23.6% 回撤位）附近的阻力，从而创下月度高点 1808 美元
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